Australian politics - effective opposition

My book is boring. Let's talk politics.

For an effective opposition government, the liberals need a leader with the X factor. Dutton didn't have it, Ley doesn't have it. It needs to be someone Australians will think, yes I'd be proud to have them as my prime minister.

Party politics and policies no longer have the loyalties of the past. There's a big swing vote depending on the X factor of the leader.

Littleproud isn't bad as leader of the nationals. Bridget McKenzie isn't bad but both are down the coalition ladder as a subparty and I don't think either of them have the full X factor either.

Who do you think has the X factor to lead the opposition?

Comments

  • Nobody right now. Hate the opposition with a passion and hope they stay that way for a few years yet.

    I’m 73 and hope to die while Labor is still in power.
  • Oz politics. Bring the popcorn. They don't call it the "Coup Capital of the Developed World" for nothing.
  • Just drop by in time for the next Federal election: you might even score a sausage.
  • Gee DGee D Shipmate
    Sojourner wrote: »
    Just drop by in time for the next Federal election: you might even score a sausage.

    And that course leaves you with still more decisions to make - sauce or mustard, or even both (not recommended?
  • HuiaHuia Shipmate
    I like the idea of the sausage tradition..

    One thing I've always wondered about is whether compulsory voting makes a difference. We don't have it in NZ, but in my family the rule was - if you don't vote you can't complain about the result. I have never not voted, but once, years ago, I crossed out all the candidates names because I didn't think any of them were up to the job.

  • I belueve strongly that compulsory voting does make a difference. I also believe that I am privileged to have the vote especially as a woman. There are so many migrants in Oz who were disenfranchised in their native countries and who turn out in force to vote.

    And it is true that if you don’t vote then don’t whinge about the outcome.

    A slightly scary aside: last Federal election the Exclusive Brethren were out in force on the hustings and handing out how to vote material for the ( now defunct) Coalition. The Brethren are opposed to voting themselves but the leadership are very much in bed with the conservatives and have been big donors to the Coalition cause. On election day they cast aside their normal attire and were inexpertly disguised in yellow T shirts and caps for the ladies ( who put aside their normal headgear. Their bad behaviour at polling boths was both remarkable and remarked upon and likely did not help the Coalition’s cause.
  • TurquoiseTasticTurquoiseTastic Kerygmania Host
    I am slightly amazed that the Exclusive Brethren are a large enough grouping to make such a difference. Exclusive Brethren, not just Brethren, right?
  • Correct: I understand that they have been rebadged as “ Brethren Christian Church” by their “ Elect Vessel” Bruce Hales.

    A small but noisy group who despite their oft-proclaimed shunning of “worldly” types are prepared to muscle in when it comes to supporting the conservative political factions ( even if this includes filthy papists such as the ( former PM) Tony Abbott and the right wing of New South Wales Liberals ( heavily involved with Opus Dei)
  • HuiaHuia Shipmate
    I don't know if the Brethren are involved in politics here, I suspect they are as there seem to be close links between their Australian and NZ branches. Destiny Church and it's leader self appointed Bishop Brian Tamaki certainly are. (This is the same man who declared that the Christchurch earthquakes in 2010 and 2011 were caused by gay people which led me to comment to a gay friend that I never realised that gays were so powerful).
  • stetsonstetson Shipmate
    Sojourner wrote: »
    The Brethren are opposed to voting themselves but the leadership are very much in bed with the conservatives and have been big donors to the Coalition cause.

    I've never heard of an anti-voting religious group participating in campaigns.

    Are the Brethren required to vote in Australia, or do they get exemptions from the law?
  • I'd heard about the Exclusive Brethren thing during my recent trip 'down under.'

    I'm no expert on Australian politics but I hope you don't mind a few well-intended observations.

    - British expats who take Australian citizenship such as my relatives and some of the neighbours seem to lurch to the right once they've settled there and think nothing of telling British visitors how shit everything is over here (apart from the history and heritage) and how wonderful Australia would be if it wasn't for more recent waves of immigrants who are spoiling it for previous waves of immigrants like them.

    - Albanesi is responsible for anything and everything that goes wrong. If they stub their big toe somehow it's his fault.

    - There are strong parallels with British politics, whether right, left or centre.

    - A lot of young people appear to have fairly right-wing views, even the sons and daughters of migrants who were given a hard time when they first arrived in Australia. Again, I can draw parallels with migrant experiences here too.

    - On local level, as here, there are very laudable initiatives from regional politicians of all political parties and none.

    I'm short, it's a mirror-image of what we have here, and elsewhere too no doubt.
  • stetson wrote: »
    Sojourner wrote: »
    The Brethren are opposed to voting themselves but the leadership are very much in bed with the conservatives and have been big donors to the Coalition cause.

    I've never heard of an anti-voting religious group participating in campaigns.

    Are the Brethren required to vote in Australia, or do they get exemptions from the law?

    They are forbidden to vote by their leaders so are not on the electoral roll.

  • stetsonstetson Shipmate
    Sojourner wrote: »
    stetson wrote: »
    Sojourner wrote: »
    The Brethren are opposed to voting themselves but the leadership are very much in bed with the conservatives and have been big donors to the Coalition cause.

    I've never heard of an anti-voting religious group participating in campaigns.

    Are the Brethren required to vote in Australia, or do they get exemptions from the law?

    They are forbidden to vote by their leaders so are not on the electoral roll.

    But I assume there was at one point official permission granted to members of their faith to stay off the electoral rolls?
  • Yes though this is generally case by case. The JWs also seek this exemption as they don’t hold with worldly kingdoms (nor seek public office).

    I suspect that most take the easy way out and are not on the electoral roll.

    I might add that the fine for failing to front up & vote ( if on the roll) is a trifling $20.
  • HuiaHuia Shipmate
    If the fine for not voting is so low and people can choose whether or not to enrol doesn't that negate compulsory voting?
  • It appears not. Voter turnout is high every time in Federal and State elections and people are largely engaged. Elections are always held on a Saturday and if you know in advance that you’ll be away or at work you cab request a postal or absentee vote. I voted outside my local area a few times when rostered on duty.
  • TurquoiseTasticTurquoiseTastic Kerygmania Host
    I can imagine that if people have no strong objection to voting a small fine for non-compliance will be sufficient to ensure 90%+ turnout. The hassle of voting is even smaller than the hassle of paying $20.
  • Well, quite.

    Also going to vote can be a bit of fun ( apart from the queue) as a lot of polling booths are at the local primary school and the P& F invariably use the occasion to sell barbecued sausage sandwiches) ( the famed democracy sausage), cakes , soft drinks and the like so an opportunity to fundraise for the school, be sociable & grab a snag sanger & some home-baked goodies. What’s not to like?
  • StephenStephen Shipmate
    Flipping heck! I'd like to see that happen over here!!
  • Stephen wrote: »
    Flipping heck! I'd like to see that happen over here!!

    Where is your "here"?

    When I first came to Australia I was given permanent residence after a year.
    As I saw myself as a temporary resident with no investment in the country I decided I shouldn't vote

    When an election came along it was easy enough to vote informally so that it wouldn't count.

    I had assumed that is what the EBs would do, so was surprised to hear that they were legally not on the electoral roll.
  • They’d make a point of it, being holier than thou.
  • TurquoiseTasticTurquoiseTastic Kerygmania Host
    edited February 6
    It is odd though - after all, the whole point of the "not voting" rule is to avoid becoming embroiled with worldly affairs such as politics. So using your influence to support a political party but still not voting seems like a prime example of following the letter of the rule while totally violating its spirit...
  • Well that’s the Brethren Christian Church ( recently rebadged Exclusive Brethren) for you
  • I've asked a question over in the Australia-China thread in Hell about the complexion of the current Australian government that might sit better here.

    There was a comment about the current Labor administration being 'very left wing' whilst the general consensus, I think, is that it's 'centre-left'.

    Is this a correct perception?
  • IMHO it's not very left of centre, if at all.
  • As a life member of the party, I can assure you that centre-left is an accurate description, although some critics would argue that a centre-right tendency is growing more evident. The party has certainly moved right since I joined fifty years ago.
  • As a non member who voted for the first time in 1974 I would agree on both points.
  • It is odd though - after all, the whole point of the "not voting" rule is to avoid becoming embroiled with worldly affairs such as politics. So using your influence to support a political party but still not voting seems like a prime example of following the letter of the rule while totally violating its spirit...

    Absolutely.

    One of my favourite theologians Kim Fabricius said the church and politics was like a line that was parallel but never quite touched. Not the same. Still matters.
  • How about that One Nation surge in the polls?

    As you say @Gamma Gamaliel Australian politics is trending very similar to British. Heck, even similar to the rest of Europe with the rise of the right wing.

    The collapse of the centre right has certainly helped the surge of the right.

    But the collapse was on hate speech laws. Touchy stuff.

    Still think Bridget McKenzie from the nationals is one to watch.

    The new Victorian liberal candidate seems fairly solid from what I've seen on the assault of a transgender man in female prisons but she's too young.
  • IMHO it's not very left of centre, if at all.

    What is it then?
  • Just centre, though on climate change action it means to the right.
  • Well we have the Greens to fly the flag for that
  • DoublethinkDoublethink Admin, 8th Day Host
    edited February 7
    The new Victorian liberal candidate seems fairly solid from what I've seen on the assault of a transgender man in female prisons but she's too young.

    As you probably know, trans people are at high risk of violence from others - but your sentence here doesn’t make sense with the Australian news cycle. Are you perhaps misgendering the perpetrator ? Please note that we consider the deliberate deadnaming and/or misgendering of transpeople to be a violation of our 1st commandment.

    Doublethink, Admin
  • I am guessing that the reference might be to Jessie Wilson, the Victorian Liberal leader. The sentence construction is misleading if that is the case.
  • edited February 8
    The new Victorian liberal candidate seems fairly solid from what I've seen on the assault of a transgender man in female prisons but she's too young.

    As you probably know, trans people are at high risk of violence from others - but your sentence here doesn’t make sense with the Australian news cycle. Are you perhaps misgendering the perpetrator ? Please note that we consider the deliberate deadnaming and/or misgendering of transpeople to be a violation of our 1st commandment.

    Doublethink, Admin
    Apologies. I'm not up to date with what terms are acceptable. I have read the commandment. I'm still not quite clear what I am and am not allowed to say. Freedom of speech rules are quite tricky these days with the far left censoring so much.

    Is biological male acceptable?

    There have been a couple of incidents recently in Australia where biological males serving prison sentences for terrible crimes have transitioned to being female or identify as such so have had their sentences reduced and have gone on to assault female prisoners.

    I understand we need to protect all minority groups including transgender people and women so there is a clash of opinion on who should be protected first.

    The woman that was assaulted by a transgender person (is that okay?) who was a biological male (is that okay?) received a government payout because of the issue.

    It's a hot issue in Australia right now. Is that what you meant by not making sense with the Australian news cycle?

    I mean ideally, we would have different prisons for different gender identifications.

    But I suspect I'll probably get banned for talking about this at all. :smile:

    But it is a tangent so I will cease and desist.

    (ETA Hidden text discussion of hostly ruling and commentary inappropriate to Purgatory, DT, Admin.)



  • How about Angus Taylor? Does he have the X factor? I don't know him at all.
  • Just centre, though on climate change action it means to the right.

    Economics and cost of living seems to be trumping climate change at the moment.

    But if you think the current government is centre, where do you put the coalition?
  • la vie en rougela vie en rouge Purgatory Host, Circus Host
    edited February 8
    Hostly beret on

    @WhimsicalChristian this is not the place to ask questions about a Hostly ruling. FTR, "biological male" is not an acceptable term in this context. Please ask any more questions about the rules in the Styx.

    Furthermore, as with all issues related to personal and sensitive matters, discussion about transgender people needs to happen in Epiphanies in an appropriate and respectful manner.

    Hostly beret off

    la vie en rouge, Purgatory host


    (ETA to add a clarification, DT, Admin.)
  • DoublethinkDoublethink Admin, 8th Day Host
    edited February 8
    @WhimsicalChristian the editorial position of SoF discussion forums is that trans people exist, in the same way gay people exist, heterosexual people exist and cisgender people exist.

    We do not provide a platform for debating positions that arise from the assertion that they do not exist, or equate non-traditional gender identities or sexualities with perversion, or assert with total lack of evidence that these marginalised groups of people present an elevated risk of offending compared to the wider population.

    The sensitivities around these issues are such that we have a dedicated forum, to host more nuanced discussions, that we aim to ensure makes space for the voices of those most affected, and those with lived experience.

    I happen to be a cisgender woman, but we are aware that we do have shipmates who are not cisgender - and we also wish to be mindful of the impacts of posts on everyone using the forums.

    Doublethink, Admin
  • Apologies. I will not raise the issue again except in an appropriate context. It's really not my area. I have no idea what the appropriate terminologies are.
  • Aaaw come on Ozzies. Let's talk politics and economics. There's so much to talk about. Seems there are a few of you about on the Ship.

    Are you afraid of being cancelled if you talk? Are you essentially disinterested? Surely you must have some opinions on one nation polling above the coalition at the moment?

    What do you make of China's recent threats to us over Taiwan and the Port of Darwin? What do you make of the defence force sell offs?

    We could be going to war soon. We should be taking about stuff.
  • I'm sure there will be Aussies here who would be more than happy to debate these things with you and I'm sure they will do so in due course.

    That they may not have done so far won't be out of fear of 'cancellation' though.

    It takes a while to figure out how the Ship operates and it's sometimes best to sit tight and listen before diving in. I say that to myself.

    As far as Australian politics goes, my observation is that there isn't much going on over there that is substantially different to what we are seeing over here, essentially a backlash against the liberal left and a lurch to the right in a populist kind of way.

    Those on the left are saying the 'Overton Window' has shifted to the right. Those on the right are saying it's shifted to the left.

    It all depends on where you stand.
  • SojournerSojourner Shipmate
    Thanks Gamma Gamaliel but I beg to disagree. It seemed to me that your impression of Ozpolitix has been skewed by your all-too-brief sojourn in this scattered sunburnt land. Adelaide is hardly representative of yer Ozzie metropolis and your esteemed rellies and their mates of a similar vintage are becoming rarer and more on the margins. The vast majority of British arrivals in Oz ( including former colleagues and patients who are not all White British) came here as escapees from Thatcherism, the Tories and Brexit.


    The so-called “lurch to the right” in Oz is exaggerated. The dog-whistlers such as the unspeakable Pauline Hansen have obtained about 5% of the popular vote and like so many one-note wonders make no effective contribution to social or economic policy development.

    The erstwhile Coalition has imploded under the weight of division and squabbling. The last Coalition PM was the most incompetent since Billy McMahon ( government thrown out after 23 years in December 1972. The nadir of his reign was the Robodebt scandal ( an illegitimate and wicked attempt to claw back legitimate social security benefits from a vulnerable group of people). The Coalition government was thrown out in May 2022 and although it gained some ground in the last Federal election the resulting infighting and fracture of the Coalition means that they will collectively remain in opposition for a long time.

    Albanese has been largely effective but is weak. He has caved in to pressure from various vocal lobby groups and his latest gaffe was to invite the President of the State of Israel for a visit 2 months after the murder of 14 Jews and 1 Gentile at Bondi Beach.

    The vast majority of Australians do not support Israel’s ongoing compaign of destruction in Gaza and are justifiably offended by this visit.

    Are we really heading for war? I suspect not in the near future.

    As for the proposed sell-off of Defence establishments: I say go for it. I worked for 14 years as a civilian contractor initially at Victoria Barracks in Sydney and came to the conclusion that it is an expensive white elephant which serves little purpose. The East coast submarine base was flogged off 30+ years ago without any comment and HMAS Penguin on the other side of the harbour is a hive of inactivity since the naval hospital closed down.

    I don’t hear any talk of the major bases in the West or in Darwin coming under threat of closure.

    Defence is infamous for wasting public money hand over fist. I finally quit (among other reasons) over the ineffective stupidity and cowardice of some of my uniformed masters and their civilian accomplices. I will say no more about that.

    I’d like to see Penny Wong as PM. Unfortunately not a hope since she is female, lesbian and of Asian descent.

    So that’s my 2 bob’s worth. Make of it what you will.
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