The Labour Government - 2025

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Comments

  • how can you possibly say that only those likely to shift from Labour to Reform are the problem for Starmer?

    Can I invite you to read what I’ve written again?

    If Starmer tacks left he might win back some of the people peeling off to his left, and head off the threat of ‘the serious alternative sitting to the left’. Absolutely.

    But in terms of votes, if that motivates remaining Tories to break for Reform, shores up Reform, and annoys enough people who bluntly just don’t want left wing policies then it’s still game over for Labour in 2029. So, again, it’s not about Labour losing more voters to Reform.

    It’s about what effect Labour going left will have on the voting intentions of the people to the right of them that already aren’t voting for them. I think Labour-Reform switchers are pretty near irrelevant, and likely to remain so until/unless we reach a tipping point of voter intention for whatever reason.

    Again, if I were them I’d be governing as though I was already toast in 2029 so might as well think the unthinkable and be hanged as a tiger rather than a sheep. But they don’t seem to have the stomach for that.

  • The idea of a party choosing its policies according to their effect on the voting intentions of people who would never vote for them is simply bizarre. The whole political landscape is so odd at the moment.
  • Ran out of editing time. so I will add some more now. Everything feels like it's is so lowest common denominator, so completely devoid of ideas or ambition that all we are left with is marketing based axiom that all that matters is the rosette of the person in No 10. Policies arise out of a very prescribed pool - irrespective of the rosette in "power". There is no tolerance of variation, unless it is moving to the right, towards desiccation, towards closing down possibilities for all but the richest. All because punitive jealousy is the political recreation du jour.
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